Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.085509 0.099144 0.114050 0.131527 0.151432 0.173364 0.199334
2025-01-05 0.064943 0.082997 0.104505 0.131903 0.165752 0.206069 0.257585
2025-01-12 0.049387 0.068863 0.093902 0.128196 0.173652 0.231503 0.310316
2025-01-19 0.039123 0.058999 0.086349 0.126285 0.182560 0.258384 0.367481
2025-01-26 0.034108 0.055093 0.085731 0.133001 0.203179 0.302396 0.451822
2025-02-02 0.030013 0.051627 0.084930 0.138926 0.222914 0.346823 0.541078
2025-02-09 0.024602 0.045033 0.078222 0.134699 0.226588 0.367793 0.597777
2025-02-16 0.020897 0.040522 0.073992 0.133521 0.234406 0.395231 0.666261
2025-02-23 0.017521 0.035935 0.068858 0.129953 0.237596 0.415259 0.724439
2025-03-02 0.014889 0.032221 0.064627 0.127220 0.241588 0.436555 0.786080
2025-03-09 0.013221 0.030057 0.062853 0.128544 0.252582 0.470250 0.870967
2025-03-16 0.011240 0.026889 0.058683 0.124776 0.253798 0.486931 0.927697
2025-03-23 0.010463 0.026193 0.059369 0.130627 0.273853 0.539333 1.052991
2025-03-30 0.009362 0.024580 0.057948 0.132090 0.285660 0.577844 1.156662
2025-04-06 0.008038 0.022190 0.054512 0.128914 0.287897 0.598636 1.229297
2025-04-13 0.007019 0.020336 0.051964 0.127259 0.292962 0.625150 1.314827
2025-04-20 0.006686 0.020165 0.053232 0.134162 0.316620 0.690040 1.479755
2025-04-27 0.006321 0.019841 0.054084 0.140207 0.339014 0.754173 1.648030
2025-05-04 0.005440 0.017913 0.050731 0.135980 0.338336 0.771035 1.722423
2025-05-11 0.004827 0.016620 0.048769 0.134810 0.344352 0.802238 1.828472
2025-05-18 0.004187 0.015106 0.045986 0.131219 0.344335 0.820472 1.908645
2025-05-25 0.003666 0.013840 0.043662 0.128466 0.345947 0.842267 1.997894
2025-06-01 0.003354 0.013188 0.042942 0.129804 0.357575 0.887121 2.140302